fomc
Fed Decision in September?
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$33.80M
Iran
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
October 31
September 30
+3 more outcomes
Volume$15.09M
Oil
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$3.44M
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$7.06M
Finance
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
+1 more outcomes
Volume$1.50M
Soccer
Where will Enzo Fernandez transfer?
Chelsea
Manchester City
Real Madrid
+4 more outcomes
Volume$80K
Senate
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Volume$3.87M
United States
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Ron DeSantis
+39 more outcomes
Volume$688.07M
Iran
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
September 30
August 31
August 15
Volume$9.25M
Culture
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden
No Bond chosen
Callum Turner
+14 more outcomes
Volume$102K
Sports
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
+29 more outcomes
Volume$44.09M
Politics
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham Nordone
Ralph Norman
Russell Fry
+12 more outcomes
Volume$1.83M
primary elections
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
James Fishback
Jay Collins
+4 more outcomes
Volume$3.83M
Florida
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback 10–15%
Fishback <10%
Fishback 15–20%
+3 more outcomes
Volume$61K
AI
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 31
September 30
September 15
+2 more outcomes
Volume$179K
Politics
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$60K
Finance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
↑ $85
↓ $75
↑ $90
+17 more outcomes
Volume$6.33M
Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$58.60M
Iran
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 15
August 31
September 30
+2 more outcomes
Volume$25.07M
Michigan Midterm
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
Volume$437K